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Vietnam’s pangasius exports to the US: Cautious recovery amid tariff uncertainties

News 16:36 19/06/2026 Phuong Linh
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) The United States remains one of the largest export markets for Vietnamese pangasius. In the first four months of 2026, pangasius exports to the US reached USD 106 million, up 4% compared to the same period in 2025. In April 2026 alone, export value totaled USD 38 million, marking a 20% year-on-year increase and the first positive growth recorded after an extended period of decline.

This recovery comes after US importers accelerated purchases ahead of August 2025, when a 20% reciprocal tariff on Vietnamese goods took effect. As a result, inventories accumulated significantly, causing import demand to slow during the final months of 2025. Entering 2026, inventory levels gradually declined, creating room for new orders and contributing to the rebound seen in April.

Frozen fillets continue to dominate product structure

The US market remains highly concentrated in terms of product mix. Fresh and frozen pangasius products (HS Code 03) accounted for 98.6% of total export value, with frozen pangasius fillets alone representing 96.6%. Value-added products under HS Code 16 contributed only 1.32%.

This structure reflects continued US demand for convenient frozen fillet products, a segment where Vietnamese pangasius maintains a competitive advantage thanks to stable supply and attractive pricing.

However, US consumer preferences are increasingly shifting toward processed and value-added seafood products. This trend presents opportunities for Vietnamese exporters to further penetrate the market and expand their portfolio of value-added pangasius products.

Competitive advantages

Several market factors are supporting the outlook for pangasius exports in the coming months. Wholesale prices of competing whitefish species, including cod and pollock, increased by approximately 30% during the second half of 2025, creating opportunities for Vietnamese pangasius to expand its market presence and value-added product offerings.

At the same time, US policies tightening seafood traceability requirements and banning imports of Russian-origin seafood, including products processed in third countries, are prompting importers to seek alternative and transparent supply sources. Vietnamese pangasius is considered a strong candidate to fill part of this gap.

Tariff policy risks require close monitoring

US tariff policy remains complex and should be closely monitored. A 10% surcharge under Section 122 was introduced after the US Supreme Court suspended the IEEPA tariff orders in February 2026. This measure is scheduled to expire in July 2026.

Beyond that point, the tariff framework applicable to Vietnamese exports to the US may change depending on the outcome of ongoing bilateral trade negotiations between Vietnam and the United States.

With many tariff-related uncertainties still unresolved, Vietnamese pangasius exporters should closely follow developments in bilateral trade talks and upcoming US policy decisions. Timely adjustments to export strategies and business plans will be essential to maintaining competitiveness and capturing market opportunities in the months ahead.

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