Exports to South Korea, Thailand, and Japan decline, while China surges
According to Vietnam Customs, South Korea remained the largest importer of Vietnamese fish cake and surimi in Q1/2026, but export value to this market fell by 21% year-on-year. Exports to Thailand and Japan also declined by 8% and 6%, respectively. These are traditional markets with stable demand, but are currently affected by more cautious consumer spending, intensifying price competition, and tighter import cost controls.
On the other hand, China has emerged as the brightest spot in the first quarter. Exports to this market increased by 17% compared to the same period last year. Several other markets also recorded notable growth, including Taiwan (+92%), the United States (+62%), Lithuania (+28%), Malaysia (+27%), and France (+183%), although their overall volumes remain relatively modest.
Convenience food trends continue to support demand
By market group, ASEAN remained the largest importing region, reaching nearly USD 21 million in Q1, though down 7%. Meanwhile, exports to China & Hong Kong and the EU both increased. This indicates that Vietnam’s fish cake and surimi exports are becoming more diversified, reducing reliance on a few traditional markets.
This trend reflects broader global consumption patterns. As consumers in many countries continue to tighten spending, processed seafood products that are convenient, affordable, and easy to store are gaining an advantage. Fish cake and surimi fit well with this trend, particularly in Asian markets, where demand for processed frozen foods remains relatively strong.
Cautious recovery expected
However, the outlook for this sector in 2026 is not entirely favorable. Price competition remains intense, especially in Northeast Asian markets. In addition, fluctuations in raw material costs, logistics, exchange rates, and rising protectionism in some importing markets are likely to affect the pace of order recovery.
In the short term, Vietnam’s fish cake and surimi exports are expected to continue recovering, albeit gradually. Markets such as China, the EU, Taiwan, and several niche destinations are projected to offer growth potential. Meanwhile, South Korea, Thailand, and Japan will remain important markets, but are unlikely to see strong growth unless consumer demand shows clearer signs of recovery.
(vasep.com.vn) In the first nine months of 2026, Vietnam’s pangasius exports to the EU reached approximately $148 million, up 12% compared to the same period in 2025. In September 2026 alone, export turnover to this market hit $18 million, a 27% year-on-year increase. Despite diverging demand across member states, the EU remains a market with growth potential for Vietnamese pangasius, particularly as supplies of several traditional whitefish species face mounting pressure.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s tuna exports to the US are showing a clear recovery after a difficult start to the year. However, the rebound is taking place against a backdrop of declining US tuna imports and a shifting supply structure, posing new challenges for Vietnamese businesses.
(vasep.com.vn) In the first nine months of 2026, Vietnam’s shrimp exports to Japan reached US$440.9 million, up 6.4% year on year. This result is noteworthy as Japan’s total shrimp imports continued to decline slightly and competition among suppliers intensified. Demand for convenience foods and processed products continues to create opportunities for Vietnamese exporters, but capitalizing on these opportunities requires stronger competitiveness and the ability to meet increasingly specific market requirements.
(vasep.com.vn) After slowing in the first months of the year, Vietnam’s tuna exports have shown a clear improvement since June 2026. However, behind September’s double-digit growth lies a notable reality: export value is recovering, but pressures from markets, trade policies, and competition among suppliers remain.
(vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s pangasius export value reached US$1.7 billion in the first nine months of 2026, up 11% year on year. In September alone, exports totaled US$210 million, an increase of 16%. China, the United States, and Brazil were the three largest markets, accounting for 49% of total export value. While China and Brazil maintained their growth momentum, exports to the US remained below the level recorded in the same period last year.
(vasep.com.vn) On November 11, 2026, in Can Tho, the Vietnam Association of Seafood Exporters and Producers (VASEP) will organize the Vietnam Seafood Summit 2026 (VSS 2026) under the theme “Seafood Market Outlook 2027–2029: Opportunities and Headroom for Double-Digit Export Growth.”
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Business leader Do Ngoc Tai, General Director of Tai Kim Anh Seafood Processing Joint Stock Company, was honored by the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry (VCCI) with the title “Outstanding Vietnamese Entrepreneur – Thanh Giong Cup 2026” at a ceremony celebrating Vietnam Entrepreneurs’ Day (October 13). The event took place on the evening of October 11, 2026, at the National Convention Center in Hanoi.
(vasep.com.vn) The global tilapia market is becoming increasingly segmented, not only among producing countries but also by product type and destination market. Supply is divided into groups with distinct competitive advantages: large volumes of whole fish and frozen fillets from Asia, high-value fresh fillets from Latin America, and substantial domestic consumption in several major producing countries.
(vasep.com.vn) Vietnam’s tuna exports to the UK grew in the first eight months of 2026, despite signs of slowing import demand in the market. However, sharp fluctuations in orders, competition from major suppliers, and new traceability requirements are creating challenges for Vietnamese exporters.
(seafood.vasep.com.vn) Vietnam is stepping up efforts to combat illegal fishing, protect marine ecosystems, expand digital monitoring, and develop science-based management to ensure the sea can support communities and the economy for generations to come.
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